Thursday, October 8, 2009

Harry Shearer: The Afghanistan War: Just Askin

Harry Shearer: The Afghanistan War: Just Askin': "

My, how times have changed. Remember way back in 2004, when John Kerry denounced the Bush administration for short-changing the Afghan war by diverting men, resources, and attention to Iraq and he was denounced as unpatriotic? Now, on the eighth anniversary of the Afghanistan war, major media proclaim it as fact, and the conservatives dont even rouse themselves to respond (Dick Cheney apparently hasnt seen his shadow, so its six more weeks before he resurfaces).

So, we fucked up, we took our eye off the ball, we got distracted. President Obama made that point to his advantage during his election campaign, and now hes cursed with getting what he wanted: the Presidency and the Afghan war redux, complete with a general saying publicly, 'Gimme more troops or else.' So, as the White House engages in deliberate debate on the matter--a debate which ostentatiously excludes the prospect of getting the hell out of there--some questions:

1. Is it sane, reasonable or prudent to pretend that, after six years of ignoring this struggle, we can just pick it up where we left off? Can we seriously act as if history in the area stopped and waited for us to re-engage? Has the passage of time been more favorable to this project, or less so?

2. We are told by war supporters that the Talibans return to power in Afghanistan would destabilize nuclear Pakistan. That would obviously be a bad thing, since nuclear Pakistan is not all that stable already. But, hasnt Pakistan funded and supported the Afghan Taliban all along, as a protection of their 'back door', so the country could devote all its military resources to the 'front door', the border with nuclear India? Would a Talibanized Afghanistan draw Pakistani Taliban across the border, where the power is, or energize them to ramp up their insurgency against the Pakistani government (which funded their cross-border brothers, but not them)?

2a. Hasnt al-Qaeda achieved all it could have dreamed of--suckering the United States into two protracted, expensive land wars in the Middle East and Asia while al-Qaeda itself morphed and decamped to Somalia and other hospitable climes?

3. I've just been reading a somewhat politicized but useful history of the country in question, Afghanistan: The Untold Story. Its clear that the country has seen all this before: not just foreign invasions (neatly repelled all the way back to Alexander the Great), but attempts at modernization, education for women, democratization, spreading literacy (as recently as the 1920s). Is it possible the intractability of these problems, their resistance to our favored solutions, is not the fault of the Afghan people? In the same way that Americas favored journey in the world was at least strongly influenced by our geography (protected by two oceans, a large agricultural heartland drained by a commerce-friendly river), is it possible that Afghanistans tortured history is at least somewhat dictated by its geography (most crucially, finding itself forever at the borders of competing empires)?

4. Will, therefore, Obamas war turn out to be an even more spectacular historic mistake than Bushs war? Will it be seen as the final step in the American empires exit stage right as the Chinese empire enters stage left?

Just askin'.

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(Via Huffington Blog.)